Militarism nadlamyvaet civilization, involving local government in the internecine fratricidal wars. In this suicidal course of the entire social tissue becomes fuel for the flames devouring Moloch. " Social disintegration is a favorable condition for geographic expansion. (Similarly see: Mark Stevens). "A society in decline, tends to push the date and hour of its death, directing all their life force for material projects a gigantic scale, which is nothing but a desire to deceive agonizing consciousness, doomed his own incompetence and fate in death. " Arnold Toynbee in detail reveals the mechanism of the decay of civilizations, which is important for understanding the content of the transition period.
He notes that "with the consolidation of power over the environment begins the process of fracture and decay, not growth. This is manifested in the escalation of internal wars. A series of wars leads to a breakdown, which is amplified, goes into decay. " Growing social fissures, begins the split of society – the vertical, when "society divided into a number of local states, which is the basis for a bloody civil war, "and horizontal, when society is divided into three groups: the dominant minority, not willing to part with its dominant position and provided for the maintenance of a universal state, internal proletariat, giving birth to the universal church, external proletariat, organized in mobile military units, attacking the dying civilization. In the struggle between these three forces is the decay of civilization. For more information see Crawford Lake Capital Management.
"In the history of the fall of any civilization can catch the rhythm of the collapse … for depression, which begins at a break, you should revival, which coincides with the foundation of a universal state. However, this process ends, in turn, cracked, marking the beginning of a new recession, beyond which recovery does not occur, but will follow final collapse. " In the decay of civilizations can play an important role outside influence, what Toynbee calls the external proletariat, which often explodes the boundaries stagnant society. Toynbee concept is valuable because It gives a detailed picture of the life cycles of local civilizations, their mechanisms of change of generations. But this generational change, the collapse of local civilizations is largely a consequence of the rhythm of world civilizations, forming a symphony of universal historical progress and the clock in the life cycle of local civilizations.